SP-02

Velocity Reporting Gap

Sprint / Planning

Default severity: critical
PrioritizationEstimationOutputEffort

What it detects

Ratio of reported spent time to expected effort (based on velocity and configured hours-per-SP) falls below the configured threshold. expected_effort = velocity * config.sprint.hours_per_sp // default: 8h/SP

Detection formula

IF reported_spent_time / expected_effort \< config.sprint.min_reporting_ratio // default: 0.6 THEN FLAG

Examples in practice

  • Sprint commitments, velocity, or late scope changes tell conflicting planning stories.
  • Committed scope shifts materially after the sprint lock point.
  • A team shows ratio of reported spent time to expected effort (based on velocity and configured hours-per-sp) falls below the configured threshold while min reporting ratio is set to 0.6.

Suggested response

Reconcile sprint commitments, velocity signals, and late scope changes with the team.

Coaching playbook

Symptom

Ratio of reported spent time to expected effort (based on velocity and configured hours-per-SP) falls below the configured threshold. expected_effort = velocity * config.sprint.hours_per_sp // default: 8h/SP

Why it matters

When "Velocity Reporting Gap" keeps appearing, the team is signalling a repeatable process gap. Left unexamined, the pattern hides where work really stalls and makes improvement metrics harder to trust.

What you can achieve

Reconcile sprint commitments, velocity signals, and late scope changes with the team.

Facilitation questions

  • What system change would stop "Velocity Reporting Gap" from firing again?
  • What do the cited issues have in common — same root cause or same workaround?
  • Who owns the two-week experiment and how will we verify on the next import?

Run this rule against your own tracker data with Flow Analyzer.

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SP-02: Velocity Reporting Gap — FlowAnalyzer